As you know we have a long weekend coming up. Taditionally investors have lightened their load going into such periods for the fear of the unknown that could occur over three long days. We also have some evidence that thr trend that started in March is losing steam. Take a look at the charts.
These are all charts of the SPY-I've mentioned before that the ETF's for indicies seem to give earlier signals than so the indicies themselves.
This is a 30 min. 3C chart (custom indicator I developed using TeleChart). This time frame is a good one to see what's happening in the next few days. As you can see, we saw a negative divergence at the top and now a downside leading negative divergence indicating more pressure on the sell side, at least in terms of accumulation and distribution. TSV in the middle has crossed below it's moving average and BOP at the bottom is red signaling selling.
This is my ChannelMax trend trading system. As you can see, we are still in the buy or hold mode until price crosses below the channel
Here's a longer view of ChannelMax, which you can access the trades by emailing me and I'll add you to the private site Wolf on Wall Street. As you can see, the system called a great short position and excellent entries on the long position, easily beating the market's performance.
In our final chart we see not only an RSI negative divergence and cross below its moving average, we also see an ugly negative divergence in my long MACD histogram.
I have believed from the start that the greatest bear market since WW2 has produced one of the greatest bear market rallies as well and that is just what I think we are seeing. At some point I think lows will be tested and we are perfectly set up for a nice double bottom which may signal the beginning of the end of this bear market.
Thursday, September 03, 2009
Holiday Weekend Selling?
Posted by Brandt at 1:49 PM
Labels: MACD, MACD Histogram, market commentary, negative divergence, RSI, stock market commentary, trend following, Trend trading
blog comments powered by Disqus
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Disclaimer:
Disclaimer: This website may include stock, financial, economic and market analysis. Any opinions, ideas, views and statements expressed here are opinion only, subject to change without notice and for informational and entertainment purposes only. Trading stocks and other financial instruments carries a high degree of risk. It is possible that an investor or trader may lose part or all of their investment. Accuracy and timeliness of any information is not guaranteed and should only be used as a starting point for doing independent additional research allowing the investors/traders to come to his or her own opinion. Nothing on this blog is to be considered a buy, hold or sell, recommendation. Any investments, trades and/or speculations made in light of the opinions, ideas, and/or forecasts expressed or implied herein are committed solely at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Additionally this site contains links to other companies. I as the author of the site may receive financial or other considerations from other parties that appear on this site. In no way does that imply that I endorse, condone or support products, services or views of any company, product or service appearing on this site.
The Bottom line, this site is a collection of my opinions with several companies that I may receive a fee or other considerations from, for the use of my site. I have no stake in the company, I have no way of knowing what they are about. YOU ARE SOLELY RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY DECISIONS OR CONSEQUENCES OF SUCH DECISIONS THAT MAY ARISE FROM YOUR USE OF THIS SITE. Disclosed affiliations include Worden, TeleChart, StockFinder, Google Adsense, INO.com and FreeStockCharts.com




