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Tuesday, August 29, 2006

Delusions of Grandeur-

I had this little fantasy working-I would be blogging throughout the storm, the lone connection to the outside world. And then after battening down the hatches at work, running home and cleaning out my gas cans, running to the store for food (I have a reverse osmosis water filtration system-didn't need water, none in the stores anyway), lifting a 200lb generator in and out of my truck, running to Sears for my deep cycle cold cranking nightmare batteries(Sears has no specifications available online or on the battery), running to HD for a window unit air conditioner (it's still 90 something degrees 100% humidity -feels like it) and power cables, then sitting in line at the gas station for 1/2 an hour and filling up 6 containers of gas and the truck, I finally got home and turned on the news to see "It looks like it'll be a tropical storm"! A tropical storm? I'd surf a tropical storm! I'd walk the dog in a tropical storm! No one wants to read a blog about some paper getting blown down the street! We were promised a hurricane, I spent money on a hurricane. I wouldn't spend a dime on a tropical storm! So there went the fantasy.

However, I did realize a hurricane/tropical storm is a lot like the market. It is cyclical, it has seasons, it is the subject of forecasting, it is a bit predictable and a bit random, it does what you least expect, it can be exciting, in the case of a tropical storm it can be boring, it can cause you to lose sleep, there are a lot of opinions about what it will do and most of them are wrong, it can cost you a lot of money, for some it'll make you a lot of money, fear is associated with it, and so is greed (price gouging-lots of that around despite all the laws and talk of enforcement), it is plotted on a map-like a stock is on a chart, it has patterns, it usually causes damage to the people who can least afford it (trailer parks, they're like a magnet for tornados and hurricanes), you can spend a lot of money preparing for it and still lose everything, it makes people act very irrationally (just sit in line at a gas station for 1/2 hour, you'll know what I mean),it affects the economy, it's satellite imagery looks a lot like the BOP indicator I use, they both have a dirty side, and most of all-right now they both blow!

So it looks like it'll be a tropical storm, but it also looks like we'll get a direct hit. So, more than likely, we will lose power (FPL has taken some heat for the condition of their power grid) and phone(internet connection), so I don't know whether or not I'll be around on the blog later Wed, we'll see. You guys on the Tag hold down the fort. Good new though! Google has finally finished their inspection of my video so here it is! Speaking of forecasting-I forecasted a pop in the market on Mon/Tues in the video (keep in mind I made this video Sunday). I hope you enjoy it. By the way, thanks for the many well wishes on the Tagboard, now go and buy some of the long candidates I posted last night, make a lot of money and visit the tip jar so I can pay for all this damn hurricane crap I just bought :( Have a great week everyone.

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